Where’s the Value?

From 1928–2017 the value premium, the return difference between stocks with low relative prices (value) and stocks with high relative prices (growth), in the US had a positive annualized return of approximately 3.5%.[2] In seven of the last 10 calendar…

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2018 Market Outlook

2018 Market Outlook

Where should you invest now?  As I wrote last year in “Should I Own International Stocks?”, in investing it is important to “skate where the puck is going, not where it has been” (Wayne Gretzky).  What this means is don’t…

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10 Year Real Returns

Should I Own International Stocks?

Why own international stocks? Especially when, as noted in Exhibit 1 below, US stocks have outperformed international stocks over the last one, five and ten years, respectively.  After all, most investors would have been better off only investing in US…

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Valuation Change

Why Have US Stocks Performed So Well?

During 2011, in the midst of the federal debt showdown, there would have been very few investors who believed the S&P 500 would return 16% per year over the next five years, especially if they knew that company economic performance would…

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